Archive for November 22, 2010

Leadership Change Coming to Vietnam

Posted in Politics with tags , , , on November 22, 2010 by Ian Pham

Rumor has it that Nguyen Tan Dung may be the new number one. He's the Prime Minister right now, not very great at it.

In January of next year, the 11th National Congress of the Vietnamese Communist Party will take place.  The 15 current leaders in the Political Bureau, the top branch of the Vietnamese government, will be replaced by new members.  The posts of General Secretary, President, and Prime Minister will all be occupied by someone else.

There is not much information available about this coming event, since the regime itself is shrouded in secrecy.  How the process works is not exactly known, though it surely won’t be democratic.  Even the names of the “candidates” who are going to replace the current top members are hidden from the public sphere.

What is known however, is that the process won’t be democratic at all, since the leadership posts are decided among the top guys themselves.  For that reason, it is unlikely that any of us can expect a strong leader to emerge.  Even so, we shouldn’t lose the optimism.  Though the leaders of the VCP have become progressively worse over the years, a fresh start is not always out of the question.

Nong Duc Manh won't be the General Secretary for much longer. Come January, someone else will take his place.

Rumor has it that the current Prime Minister of Vietnam, Nguyen Tan Dung, will replace Nong Duc Manh as the new General Secretary of Vietnam.  Since the two basically do the same things (kiss China’s ass), a change will not take place if the rumors are true.  However, he is a weak person, incapable of ruling. Under any regime, cowardly men are never capable of winning the loyalty of their subordinates.  Therefore, it might not be he who will become the new number one.

That’s the rundown on what will be happening in January.  New leaders will be chosen, but we do not know who.  It is possible that someone can bypass this system and take Vietnam into a new era, but the chance of that happening… you know.  Even so, we shouldn’t completely dismiss that hope.  Vietnam has taken some steps to better the country, maybe other members of the Party have smartened up.  What do you think?